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“Back to the Future: The Persistent Problems of Hybrid War.” International Affairs. June 2024.  Coauthored with Isak Kulalik and John Mayle. [Link]


“Why Putin Invaded Ukraine.” Chapter in War in Ukraine: Conflict, Strategy, and the Return of a Fractured World.  Johns Hopkins University Press.  April 2024. Coauthored with Michael McFaul. [Link]


“Why NATO Is More Than Democracy’s Best Defense.” Journal of Democracy.  April 2024.  Coauthored with Michael McFaul. [Link]

"Putin's Weak Link in Crimea." Foreign Affairs, December 2023. With LTG(ret) Ben Hodges, Led Klosky, and Erik Williamson. [Link]

"Putin's Formula for Ruling Russia is Failing." Journal of Democracy, June 2023 [Link]

“Putin's Big Gamble.” Journal of Democracy, September 2022. [Link]

“What Putin Fears Most.” Journal of Democracy 33, no. 2 (2022). With Michael McFaul [Link]


“Bargaining with Blood: Russia’s War in Ukraine.” CSDS Policy Brief no. 6/2022. Brussels: Centre for Security, Diplomacy, and Strategy (2022).  With Kathryn Hedgecock. [Link]


International Politics: Classic and Contemporary Readings.  Second edition. SAGE/CQ Press (2021).  Co-edited with Scott Handler. [Link]


“Four Myths About Russian Grand Strategy.” Chapter in The Diversity of Russia’s Military Power.  Washington, D.C.: Center for Strategic & International Studies. (2020) [Link]


“Russian Grand Strategy in the 21st Century.”  Chapter in Russian Strategic Intentions.  White paper prepared by NSI, Inc. for U.S. Department of Defense Strategic Multilayer Assessment Program, Joint Staff/J39 Directorate for Special Activities and Operations (2019) [Link]

“Ukraine’s Election Indicates a Strengthening Democracy” Journal of Political Risk vol. 7, no. 5, May 2019 [Link]


“A Mixed-Method Approach to Studying Popular Support for Democracy and Authoritarianism in Post-Soviet Countries.”  Sage Research Methods Cases (2019) [Link]


“The Fog of Russian Information Warfare” in Perceptions are Reality: Historical Case Studies of Information Operations in Large-Scale Combat Operations.  Army University Press (2018).  With Lionel Beehner and Liam Collins. [Link]


“Russia.” Chapter in American National Security 7th edition. Michael Meese, Suzanne Nielsen, and Rachel Sondheimer, eds.  Johns Hopkins University Press (2018) [Link]


Analyzing the Russian Way of War: Evidence from the 2008 Conflict with Georgia.  Modern War Institute, United States Military Academy (2018).  With Lionel Beehner, Liam Collins, Steve Ferenzi, and Aaron Brantly. [Link]


“Balance of Threat: The Domestic Insecurity of Vladimir Putin.”  Journal of Eurasian Studies 8, no. 1 (2017) [Link]


“The Deep Impact of Economic Collapse on Democratic Support.”  Problems of Post-Communism 63, no. 5/6 (2016) [Link]


“The Political Consequences of Economic Shocks: Implications for Political Behavior in Russia” Problems of Post-Communism 63, no. 4 (2016).  With Pierre Landry. [Link]


“Russian Hybrid Warfare in Eastern Europe: Challenges and Limitations.” Chapter in Panorama of Global Security Environment 2016, ed. Robert Ondrejcsák (Bratislava: Strategic Policy Institute, 2016) [Link]

“Russia Gone Rogue: The Fate of Ukraine and the Limits of Global Integration.” Chapter in What’s the Worst that Could Happen? The Politics and Policy of Crisis Management, ed. Liebert, Sherlock, and Morrow (Cornwall, NY: Sloan Publishers, 2016) [Link]


“Potholes, Pensions, and Public Opinion: The Politics of Blame in Putin’s Power Vertical.” Post-Soviet Affairs 31, no. 5: (2015) [Link]


“In Search of New Approaches to Counterterrorism,” CTC Sentinel 8, no. 7 (2015).  With Nelly Lahoud. [Link]


“Ukraine 2015: The Challenges of Governing From the Center.”  Baltic Rim Economies Review 12, no. 3 (2015) [Link]


“Resisting Hegemony: Transformations of National Identity Under Foreign Occupation.” Kellogg Institute for International Studies Working Paper Series no. 396 (2014) [Link]


“Should Promoting Democracy Abroad be a Top U.S. Priority?” Chapter in Taking Sides: Clashing Views in American Foreign Policy, 6th ed. Suzanne Nielsen and Scott Handler, eds. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2013) [Link]

"Nothing to Gain But Your Chains: Popular Support for Democracy and Authoritarianism in the Former Soviet Union."  Doctoral Dissertation, Yale University Department of Political Science (2010) [Link]


Book Review: Myagkov, M., Ordeshook, P.C., and Shakin, D. The Forensics of Election Fraud: Russia and Ukraine (2009).  Comparative Political Studies 43, no. 6 (2010) [Link]

Political Values in the Former Soviet Union.  Original stratified multistage probability surveys of Russia (n=1,500), Ukraine (n=1,000), Belarus (n=1,000), and Latvia (n=1,000).  2007-2008. [Link]


“Crouching Tiger, Hidden Jargon: The Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership.” Stanford Journal of International Relations 3, no. 1 (2001) [Link]

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